2016 yil Shotlandiya parlamenti saylovlari bo'yicha fikr-mulohazalar - Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election

The 2016 yil Shotlandiya parlamentiga saylov 2016 yil 5-may, payshanba kuni bo'lib o'tdi^[1] 129 a'zoni saylash Shotlandiya parlamenti. Bu beshinchi edi umumiy saylov parlament 1999 yilda tashkil etilganidan beri.

So'rov bo'yicha ma'lumotlar

Grafik xulosa

Saylov okrugi ovozi yarim shaffof, mintaqaviy ovoz berish esa to'liq qatorda ko'rsatilgan.

2016 yil Shotlandiya parlamenti saylovlari uchun so'rov natijalarining o'rtacha 30 kunlik trend yo'nalishi. 2012 yil 29 yanvardan 2016 yil 4 maygacha bo'lgan natijalar

Saylov okrugiga ovoz berish (FPTP )

2016

Sana (lar) o'tkazildi	Ovoz berish tashkiloti / mijozi	Namuna hajmi	SNP	Laboratoriya laboratoriyasi	Con	Lib Dem	Boshqalar	Qo'rg'oshin
5 may	Umumiy saylov natijalari	2,279,153	46.5%	22.6%	22.0%	7.8%	1.1%	23.9%
2-4 may	YouGov / Times	1,445	48%	22%	19%	7%	4%	26%
1-2 may	Survation / Daily Record	1,024	49%	21%	19%	7%	5%	28%
1 may	BBC Shotlandiya o'rtasidagi bahs Devidson, Dugdeyl, Harvi, Renni va Sturgeon.
23-28 aprel	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,074	49%	23%	17%	6%	4%	26%
18-25 aprel	Ipsos MORI / STV^{[doimiy o'lik havola ]}	1,015	51%	19%	18%	6%	6%	32%
1–24 aprel	TNS	1,035	52%	22%	17%	7%	3%	30%
15-20 aprel	Survation / Daily Record	1,005	53%	18%	17%	7%	5%	35%
11-15 aprel	BMG Research / Herald	1,012	53%	21%	16%	6%	3%	32%
6-15 aprel	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,021	51%	19%	18%	5%	7%	32%
7–11-aprel	YouGov / Times	1,012	50%	21%	18%	5%	6%	29%
23 mart - 3 aprel	Najot / Unison Shotlandiya	1,003	52%	21%	16%	6%	4%	31%
29 mart	STV o'rtasidagi bahs Devidson, Dugdeyl, Harvi, Renni va Sturgeon.
24 mart	BBC Shotlandiya o'rtasidagi bahs Koburn, Devidson, Dugdeyl, Harvi, Renni va Sturgeon.
2–22 mart	TNS	1,013	56%	19%	15%	6%	3%	37%
10-17 mart	Survation / Daily Record	1,051	54%	20%	16%	7%	4%	34%
7-9 mart	YouGov / Times	1,070	49%	19%	19%	6%	7%	30%
25-29 fevral	Najot / Daily Mail	1,022	54%	21%	16%	5%	4%	33%
3–24 fevral	TNS	1,036	60%	21%	13%	4%	2%	39%
11-16 fevral	Survation / Daily Record	1,006	53%	22%	16%	6%	3%	31%
1-7 fevral	Ipsos MORI / STV	1,000	53%	20%	16%	6%	5%	33%
1-4 fevral	YouGov / Times	1,022	50%	19%	20%	6%	5%	30%
6-25 yanvar	TNS	1,016	57%	21%	17%	3%	2%	36%
8-14 yanvar	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,053	50%	21%	17%	6%	5%	29%
8-12 yanvar	Survation / Daily Record	1,029	52%	21%	16%	7%	4%	31%

2015

Sana (lar) o'tkazildi	Ovoz berish tashkiloti / mijozi	Namuna hajmi	SNP	Laboratoriya laboratoriyasi	Con	Lib Dem	Boshqalar	Qo'rg'oshin
16 noyabr - 14 dekabr	TNS	1,035	58%	21%	12%	4%	5%	37%
9-16 noyabr	Ipsos MORI / STV	1,029	50%	20%	18%	7%	5%	30%
16 oktyabr - 4 noyabr	TNS	1,034	58%	24%	12%	4%	2%	34%
9-13 oktyabr	YouGov / Times	1,026	51%	21%	19%	5%	5%	30%
9-30 sentyabr	TNS	1,037	56%	21%	12%	6%	5%	35%
12 sentyabr	Jeremi Korbin ning etakchisiga aylanadi Mehnat partiyasi
7-10 sentyabr	Najot / Shotlandiya Daily Mail	1,010	53%	22%	14%	6%	5%	31%
7-10 sentyabr	YouGov / Times	1,110	51%	22%	18%	4%	5%	29%
12 avgust - 1 sentyabr	TNS	1,023	58%	23%	12%	5%	2%	35%
24-30 avgust	Ipsos MORI / STV	1,002	55%	20%	12%	7%	6%	35%
15 avgust	Keziya Dugdeyl rahbariga aylanadi Shotlandiyalik leyboristlar
10 iyul - 3 avgust	TNS	1,029	62%	20%	12%	3%	2%	42%
19 iyun - 8 iyul	TNS	1,056	60%	20%	14%	5%	2%	40%
3-7 iyul	Najot / Shotlandiya Daily Mail	1,084	56%	20%	14%	7%	4%	36%
13-30 may	TNS	1,031	60%	19%	15%	3%	3%	41%
16 may	Jim Merfi rahbari lavozimidan iste'foga chiqadi Shotlandiyalik leyboristlar
7 may	2015 yil Birlashgan Qirollikning umumiy saylovlari
29 aprel - 1 may	YouGov / Times	1,162	49%	25%	15%	7%	4%	24%
22-27 aprel	Survation / Daily Record	1,015	54%	24%	13%	5%	4%	30%
16–20-aprel	YouGov / Times	1,111	51%	25%	14%	6%	4%	26%
8-9 aprel	YouGov / Times	1,056	49%	24%	16%	5%	5%	25%
13-19 mart	ICM / Guardian	1,002	46%	26%	13%	5%	9%	20%
12-17 mart	Survation / Daily Record	1,027	50%	26%	13%	5%	6%	24%
10-12 mart	YouGov / Times	1,049	46%	27%	14%	4%	5%	19%
12-17 fevral	Survation / Daily Record	1,011	48%	28%	13%	5%	7%	20%
29 yanvar - 2 fevral	YouGov / Times	1,001	51%	26%	12%	4%	7%	25%
14 yanvar - 2 fevral	TNS^{[doimiy o'lik havola ]}	1,006	47%	31%	13%	4%	5%	16%
12-19 yanvar	Ipsos MORI / STV	1,001	53%	24%	11%	5%	7%	29%

2014

Sana (lar) o'tkazildi	Ovoz berish tashkiloti / mijozi	Namuna hajmi	SNP	Laboratoriya laboratoriyasi	Con	Lib Dem	Boshqalar	Qo'rg'oshin
16-18 dekabr	ICM / Guardian	1,004	44%	26%	12%	6%	11%	18%
15-18 dekabr	Survation / Daily Record	1,000	51%	25%	15%	5%	5%	26%
13 dekabr	Jim Merfi rahbariga aylanadi Shotlandiyalik leyboristlar
9-11 dekabr	YouGov / Quyosh	1,081	50%	28%	14%	3%	5%	22%
27 noyabr	Smit komissiyasining hisobotini chiqarish
20 noyabr	Nikola Sturgeon bo'ladi Shotlandiyaning birinchi vaziri
16-noyabr	Nikola Sturgeon ning etakchisiga aylanadi SNP
6-13 noyabr	Survation / Daily Record	1,001	50%	23%	14%	7%	6%	27%
27 - 30 oktyabr	YouGov / Times	1,078	46%	28%	12%	5%	9%	18%
22 - 29 oktyabr	Ipsos MORI	1,026	57%	23%	8%	6%	5%	34%
24 oktyabr	Yoxann Lamont rahbari lavozimidan iste'foga chiqadi Shotlandiya ishchilar partiyasi, etakchilik saylovlarini boshlash
12 sentyabr - 1 oktyabr	Panelbase / Shotlandiya milliy partiyasi	1,049	42%	27%	15%	5%	10%	15%
19 sentyabr	Najot / Daily Mail	871	49%	31%	13%	3%	1%	18%
19 sentyabr	Birinchi vazir Aleks Salmond iste'foga chiqishini e'lon qiladi rahbariyat saylovi
18 sentyabr	Shotlandiya mustaqilligi bo'yicha referendum
15 sentyabr - 17 sentyabr	YouGov / Quyosh	3,237	40%	32%	15%	4%	9%	8%
12 sentyabr - 16 sentyabr	Najot / Daily Mail	1,000	42%	31%	15%	6%	6%	11%
9 sentyabr - 11 sentyabr	YouGov / Times / Quyosh	1,268	39%	35%	15%	4%	8%	4%
5 sentyabr - 9 sentyabr	Survation / Daily Record	1,000	43%	33%	14%	4%	5%	10%
2 - 5 sentyabr	YouGov / Sunday Times	1,084	40%	33%	16%	4%	8%	7%
28 avgust - 1 sentyabr	YouGov / Times / Quyosh	1,063	39%	34%	15%	5%	7%	5%
12 - 15 avgust	YouGov / Times	1,085	37%	37%	15%	4%	7%	Bog'langan
4 - 7 avgust	YouGov / Quyosh	1,142	36%	37%	16%	4%	7%	1%
28 iyul - 3 avgust	Ipsos MORI / STV	1,006	36%	34%	16%	6%	8%	2%
4 - 8 iyul	Survation / Daily Record	1,013	44%	31%	13%	5%	7%	13%
25 - 29 iyun	YouGov / Times	1,206	35%	37%	15%	6%	8%	2%
12 - 16 iyun	YouGov / Quyosh	1,039	35%	37%	14%	5%	9%	2%
8 - 10 iyun	Survation / Daily Record	1,004	46%	28%	13%	6%	6%	18%
16 may - 1 iyun	Ipsos MORI / STV	1,003	39%	30%	14%	5%	12%	9%
22 may	2014 yil Evropa parlamentiga saylov
9-12 may	Survation / Daily Record	1,003	44%	32%	15%	5%	4%	12%
11 - 15 aprel	Najot / yakshanba kuni post	1,002	46%	32%	13%	6%	4%	14%
4 - 7 aprel	Survation / Daily Record	1,001	45%	32%	14%	6%	4%	13%
20 - 24 mart	YouGov / Times	1,002	38%	35%	13%	7%	7%	3%
6 - 7 mart	Survation / Daily Record / Better Nation	1,002	45%	34%	13%	5%	4%	11%
24 - 28 fevral	YouGov	1,257	39%	37%	14%	5%	5%	2%
17 - 18 fevral	Najot / Daily Mail	1,005	44%	31%	13%	6%	6%	13%
29 yanvar - 6 fevral	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,012	43%	32%	14%	6%	6%	11%
29-31 yanvar	Yakshanba kuni najot / pochta	1,010	38%	36%	12%	9%	5%	2%
21-27 yanvar	YouGov	1,192	34%	38%	15%	5%	7%	4%
23 yanvar	2014 yil Kovdenbeatdagi qo'shimcha saylov

2013

Sana (lar) o'tkazildi	Ovoz berish tashkiloti / mijozi	Namuna hajmi	SNP	Laboratoriya laboratoriyasi	Con	Lib Dem	Boshqalar	Qo'rg'oshin
13-20 dek	Panelbase / Shotlandiya milliy partiyasi	1,012	40%	32%	15%	5%	8%	8%
29 noyabr - 5 dekabr	Ipsos MORI / STV yangiliklari	1,006	36%	34%	15%	7%	7%	2%
24 oktyabr	2013 yil Dunfermline qo'shimcha saylovi
9-15 sentyabr	Ipsos MORI	1,000	41%	37%	13%	7%	2%	4%
30 avgust - 5 sentyabr	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,002	45%	32%	12%	5%	6%	13%
17-24 iyul	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,001	48%	30%	13%	4%	5%	18%
20 iyun	2013 yil Aberdin Donsidedagi qo'shimcha saylov
29 aprel - 5 may	Ipsos MORI / The Times	1,001	39%	36%	16%	8%	1%	2%
4-9 fevral	Ipsos MORI / The Times	1,003	43%	35%	13%	7%	2%	8%

2012

Sana (lar) o'tkazildi	Ovoz berish tashkiloti / mijozi	Namuna hajmi	SNP	Laboratoriya laboratoriyasi	Con	Lib Dem	Boshqalar	Qo'rg'oshin
8-15 oktyabr	Ipsos MORI / The Times	1,003	40%	35%	13%	8%	4%	5%
7-13 iyun	Ipsos MORI	1,003	45%	32%	12%	6%	5%	13%
3 may	2012 yil Shotlandiyadagi mahalliy saylovlar
27 - 29 yanvar	Ipsos MORI	1,005	49%	23%	13%	10%	5%	26%
26 yanvar - 1 fevral	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,008	43%	25%	12%	4%	3%	18%

2011

Sana (lar) o'tkazildi	Ovoz berish tashkiloti / mijozi	Namuna hajmi	SNP	Laboratoriya laboratoriyasi	Con	Lib Dem	Boshqalar	Qo'rg'oshin
5 may	Umumiy saylov natijalari	1,989,222	45.4%	31.7%	13.9%	7.9%	1.1%	13.7%

Mintaqaviy ovoz berish (AMS )